Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
« Back to challenges
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
(8 months)
Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 marks the largest international armed conflict in Europe in decades. The ripples of the conflict for the future of Ukraine will be felt around the region and the world for years to come.
Questions
Leaderboard
Activity
Filters
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Completed
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
all
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Forecasts
Number of Forecasters
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Tags
Select All
No Tags
only
Security and Conflict (18)
only
Foreign Policy (13)
only
Non-US Politics (12)
only
Society (7)
only
Business (5)
only
Technology (2)
only
US Policy (2)
only
US Politics (2)
only
Economic Indicators (1)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (1)
only
Show less
Question
SE_Meyer
asks:
Will Ramzan Kadyrov cease to be the Head of the Chechen Republic before 1 November 2024?
Closing
Nov 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
13
·
16
What will be the closing price for aluminum per metric ton on 25 October 2024, according to Trading Economics?
Closing
Oct 25, 2024 07:00AM UTC
·
21
·
31
Oiram18
asks:
Will Russia be the largest supplier of arms to India from 2020 to 2024, according to SIPRI?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
48
·
69
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Poland publicly announce that it has joined or is joining the European Sky Shield Initiative (ESSI) before 9 November 2024?
Closing
Nov 09, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
28
·
81
Will Russia officially recognize the Autonomous Territorial Unit of Gagauzia (Gagauzia) in Moldova as an independent state or otherwise as not a part of the Republic of Moldova before 15 December 2024?
Closing
Dec 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
33
·
72
Will Russia officially recognize Transnistria (Pridnestrovskaia Moldavskaia Republic) in Moldova as an independent state or as otherwise not a part of the Republic of Moldova before 15 December 2024?
Closing
Dec 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
40
·
93
When will the "land bridge" between Crimea and Russia be severed, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)?
Closing
Jul 30, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
115
·
386
Will territory in any Ukrainian oblast that borders Belarus cease to be under Ukrainian control before 1 May 2024, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
Closing
May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
112
·
334
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 July 2024, will NATO or a NATO member state publicly accuse Russia of attacking a crewed, non-Ukrainian-flagged vessel in the Black Sea outside of Ukrainian and Russian territorial waters?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
114
·
408
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 May 2024, will Russia or Belarus detonate a nuclear device outside of Russian and Belarusian territory or airspace?
Closing
May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
151
·
442
1
2
Next ›
Last »
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel